| Boom
or Beijing?
By
Paul V. Arnold
Over
the past several months, the Institute for Supply Management’s
indices have pointed to a remarkable resurgence in the United States
manufacturing economy. Its December Report on Business, released Jan.
2, was capped with the headline: “PMI at 66.2 percent: Production,
new orders, employment grow; inventories decline.” ISM, an
association for supply chain management professionals, had the data to
back it all up. Its Purchasing Managers’ Index, a well-rounded
barometer of the industrial market, ballooned to a percentage it had
not reached since December 1983. Its New Orders Index outdid even
that, reaching its highest level since January 1950. Its Employment
Index grew for the second month in a row following 37 months of
contraction.
The
ISM report, which was picked up by all of the major papers, should
have been the most profound piece of manufacturing news I read during
that week. But, it wasn’t. A few days before the release of the ISM
information, the front page of the Milwaukee Journal
Sentinel
featured an article titled: “Out of work, seeking new land of
opportunity.”
The
article told the story of Lee, a 49-year-old Milwaukee native with
more than 30 years of experience in the manufacturing industry.
Lee
(who asked the paper to withhold his last name) is a veteran toolmaker
who rose to become the director of advanced manufacturing for a Tier 1
supplier to the automotive sector. He has a first-rate resume and
credentials that reach from the shop floor to conceptual design work.
Lee
has it all, except a job. He was let go during a company downsizing in
January 2002 and has spent the past two years sending out hundreds of
resumes. With no job offers from an American manufacturing company,
Lee decided to do something unconventional and perhaps a little
desperate. He and his family traveled to China this winter to explore
employment options in that country’s burgeoning manufacturing
industry.
“I
am looking at China as the land of opportunity,” he told the
newspaper. “It is where I can provide my expertise. I think people
would listen.”
Lee says he doesn’t
know yet whether he would actually take a job in China. But the fact
that someone with his background and skills is even considering such a
move speaks volumes. Perhaps it says more about the trends and state
of U.S. manufacturing than even those glowing ISM numbers.
This article appeared in
the February/March 2004 issue of MRO Today magazine. Copyright 2004.
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